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Introducing Measuring Impact by Design

Craig Joyce, Senior Advisor, Methods
Impact Canada, Impact & Innovation Unit, Privy Council Office
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This month, the Impact and Innovation Unit is proud to launch our first ever impact measurement guidance, which we call Measuring Impact by Design. This document is the product of a year’s worth of collaborative effort, in which we worked with experts and potential users of this guide to compile a plain-language explanation of some key concepts related to impact measurement. It introduces some of the main ways in which we can measure impact for the projects we will be delivering under Impact Canada.

At its core, Impact Canada is about doing things differently to improve results for Canadians. Pay-for-success is a key means by which we do this, and as you will have seen, we’ve already launched a series of challenge prizes in diverse areas to this end. Pay-for-success can take many forms, and we have some exciting work planned to develop social impact bonds as well.

Measuring Impact by Design was written to equip ourselves and our partners with a general guideline for rigorous impact measurement. The basic premise of pay-for-success is that government only pays when a desired result is achieved. In this context, we need to be proactive and systematic in our measurement efforts, and use designs that can attribute results to our programs, ruling out other possible causes as much as possible. To this end, Measuring Impact by Design places a strong emphasis on experimental and quasi-experimental methods for measuring impact.

Fundamentally, this is a guide for the non-specialist. It is written for program and policy experts who are developing Impact Canada pay-for-success projects, who might not know what methods of impact measurement are available to them, what the advantages and disadvantages of various methods are, or which are best suited to which contexts. The goal is not to turn its readers into specialists, but rather to equip them with a deeper appreciation of the science of impact measurement, so that they can be critical consumers of it in their own pay-for-success work.

This is just the beginning. Over the coming months, watch for our impact measurement blog post series, which will dive a little deeper into the key messages of Measuring Impact by Design. We’ll be writing a little more on topics like randomisation and impact measurement, the relative advantages of experiments and quasi-experiments, why we don’t use a traditional evidence hierarchy, what the relationship between impact measurement and pay-for-success is, and how we are working with Statistics Canada to measure the impact of our own work on prizes and challenges.

So stay tuned! There is much more to come. In the meantime, we hope Measuring Impact by Design is useful to you. We love feedback, so please do not hesitate to reach out to us.

Published: 2019-04-25
Last modified: 2025-05-25
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Before and Beyond Solutions:

How Can Challenge Prizes Help Advance Broader Policy Objectives?

Julie Greene, Lead, Capacity and Partnerships
Impact Canada, Impact & Innovation Unit, Privy Council Office
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In 2017, the Canadian Government took bold and concerted strides to accelerate the use of innovative approaches to improve outcomes on issues that citizens care about, when it established the Impact and Innovation Unit (IIU). Situated within a central agency — the Privy Council Office — we were asked to experiment with new program delivery models and assess whether they help close the gap between policy development and implementation.

Under the auspices of Impact Canada (a part of the IIU), the principal approaches we use are challenge prizes, pay-for-success funding models, and behavioural insights. Since launching in 2017, Impact Canada has experienced rapid growth, with over $720 million of funding under its program authorities and a significant portfolio of behavioral insights projects. To read more about what we do and how we do it, please have a look at our annual report.

My name is Julie Greene, and I have the privilege of being a member of the Centre of Expertise for Impact Canada. Nesta Challenges has been an integral partner for our team, guiding and supporting our efforts in co-designing challenge prizes with some of Impact Canada’s first clients.

In this blog, I want to reflect on something important we have learned while scoping, designing, launching and assessing challenge prizes over the last two years. When thinking about why a program or department might want to run a Challenge, we usually consider some of the following factors:

  • Because there is an unknown solution to a known problem;
  • To support and accelerate change in an issue area;
  • To attract new innovators to the issue and;
  • To build new markets or innovations developed as a result of challenges.
  • Those are often our opening considerations when investigating a problem area that we might address or advance through a challenge prize.

As we have worked with multiple departments to launch Challenges that address issues of key importance to Canadians — creating smarter cities and clean technologies, improving Indigenous housing and responding to the opioid crisis — we are learning that when each partner decides to spend the extensive time and energy it can require to define and launch a well-researched and designed challenge, they have considered what might be accomplished beyond the solutions the Challenge may surface.

At the outset of planning, and until first stage assessment, the possible solutions that a Challenge may offer are unknown. We have defined, to the best of our ability, or (as we have heard Nesta’s Olivier Usher say many times), (insert Scottish brogue here) “we are reasonably certain”, that we understand the problem, current approaches, barriers to success and that a gap or opportunity exists that can be helped using a challenge prize. But we have no idea at that time what will actually happen when the Challenge is launched! So, as they consider the rationale for undertaking a Challenge, there are broader policy objectives that our partners want to express or explore through launching a prize. Here are a two examples.

Health Canada is the lead for Opioid Response, and Canada is in the midst of a crisis. The number of overdoses and deaths caused by opioids, including fentanyl, has risen sharply and continues to rise. We launched the Drug Checking Technology Challenge to improve on drug checking technology that will allow the community of people who use drugs and those who support them to make more informed decisions based on the composition of a drug. This opening statement on the Challenge platform sends a very clear and public signal that harm reduction (measures that reduce the negative effects of drugs and substances on individuals and communities, without requiring abstinence) is a key pillar of the Government’s approach. While critics of harm reduction believe that this approach normalizes risky behaviour, or delays movement toward treatment and abstinence, the Canadian Drugs and Substances Strategy “supports measures that reduce the harmful health, social and economic effects of substance use”.

Launching a Challenge to “create a rapid, accurate, easy to use, and low-cost testing device or instrument that can be used with minimal training and preparation work” sends a clear and direct message that our policy priority is to reduce death by opioid overdose, using all available levers. What more public way to communicate this priority than by inviting innovators of all kinds to help stop overdoses? Because as Tris Dyson says, “We want to use these prizes to solve these problems faster and better — making the most of talent, ideas and motivations out there, wherever they may be”.

Another example of how Challenges can help to communicate and advance broader priorities comes from Canada’s East coast, where commercial fishing and boatbuilding are important economic drivers for the region. Atlantic Canada is home to nearly 13,000 inshore fishing boats that use diesel fuel to power them to lucrative fishing grounds. In support of both better economic and environmental outcomes, the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency launched a Challenge to boat builders to develop an innovative hull that maximizes energy efficiency, lowers operational costs and reduces greenhouse gas emissions.

And yet, the Hull Design Efficiency Challenge has greater aspirations — to again send a clear and transparent signal that there is room to incentivize the acceleration and uptake of clean technologies in an industry which has traditionally relied on “tried and true” methods, often handed down over generations. Adoption of new, novel and more efficient approaches may face barriers to uptake including those are both financial and attitudinal. In this case, by designing a Challenge with specific supports and incentives that will move ideas toward commercialization, the Government is defining a clear space for innovation in clean technologies, and respectfully incenting more rapid progress in an industry almost as old as time itself.

When considering whether a challenge prize might be the right mechanism to help advance progress on your policy issue, it is also worth thinking about the ways this approach can help clearly articulate and communicate your policy positions to your target innovators, stakeholders and larger public.

So ask yourself, what ELSE can challenge prizes do for you?

This blog was originally published on November 07, 2019 by Nesta Challenges.

Published: 2018-11-19
Last modified: 2025-05-25
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The Impacts of Innovation

Measuring the Effects of Challenges

Noah Conrad, Junior Analyst
Impact Canada, Impact & Innovation Unit, Privy Council Office
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What are Challenges? What are their desired outcomes

Impact Canada Challenges are outcomes-based competitions run by the Impact and Innovation Unit (IIU), in partnership with other government departments to find solutions to some of Canada’s most pressing issues. Using an open innovation approach, challenges leverage financial and non-financial incentives to entice innovators to direct their talents towards helping to solve major societal problems. Challenge applicants typically apply to a staged competition where the ultimate winners are awarded large financial prizes.

My name is Noah Conrad, and for the last four months, I have been supporting the IIU in the measurement of challenges. What follows is a brief overview of the challenge impact measurement approach developed by the IIU, and some options being considered for future use.

Why is the IIU Measuring Impact?

As challenges are completed, formally measuring their direct and indirect effects will help the IIU to assess whether challenges are having their desired impacts and whether they are being designed and delivered in the most effective manner. Indeed, to continually enhance its programs, the IIU needs to understand the aspects of its methods that are functioning as intended and the ones that require further refinement. Moreover, given the monetary prizes associated with each challenge, formally measuring the effects of challenges will help maximize their effectiveness and efficiency within a public policy context.

Barriers to overcome

To date, there have been relatively few recent studies that have rigorously studied the impacts of challenges. By their very nature, challenges work on multifaceted problems that may not have one single cause or solution. Consequently, it can be difficult to attribute positive changes within an issue area to challenges themselves when many other variables and factors could have influenced the observed outcomes. Moreover, since each challenge works on a distinct problem and can employ one of three basic structures (challenge prizes, grand challenges, and competitive accelerators), all challenges are likely to have somewhat divergent pathways to impact, making it hard to develop a standardized approach to impact measurement. For example, one challenge may impact an issue by making high quality information more readily available (see Housing Supply Round One) while others may change an area by incentivizing a technological breakthrough (see Sky’s the Limit Challenge). Clearly then, determining the causal impacts of challenges will necessitate the use of multiple methods and lines of inquiry. The following sections can be read as a limited subset of the approaches to impact measurement that the IIU has employed to date and is considering in the future.

Approaches to Impact Measurement

In 2020, the IIU published a document called Logic Model and Narrative — Impact Assessment of Challenges under Impact Canada, which presents a basic theory of what we expect to achieve with our suite of challenges. Each of the methods of inquiry below is discussed in relation to the outcomes from the logic model that it is designed to measure.

Social Network Analysis: Measuring increased awareness, talent mobilization, and the formation of collaborative networks and partnerships

A desired process outcome from the logic model is the formation of partnerships both internal and external to the challenges themselves. Indeed, studies have shown that the formation of knowledge communities and networks through which actors exchange information are an important driver of innovation. As part of their design, challenges have developed various opportunities for participants to form connections with end users, potential financiers, local communities, and other competitors. Ideally, connections with financiers should help attract initial investments into start-ups while networking with fellow participants may assist in the exchange of ideas. Additionally, challenges should raise attention and generate increased awareness about important issues. Open communication from Impact Canada with strong engagement from innovators, end users, and the media contribute to raising the public profile of policy priorities and problems that a challenge has been designed to address or solve.

Another primary motivation behind the creation of challenges is to mobilize actors who do not typically apply to government programs as well as those who lie outside the normal constituency that may develop solutions to the issue in question. Challenges feature a streamlined application process designed to incentivize non-traditional actors to apply to them. It is expected that new actors who apply to challenges will bring new ideas, capacities, and experiences. These unconventional ways of thinking may help uncover new solutions to the difficult problems that challenges are designed to solve.

A line of inquiry which could help the IIU to measure all three of these outcomes is social network analysis. For those unfamiliar, social network analysis is a research method which outlines the exchanges and connections between actorsFootnote 1. Undertaking social network analysis would help paint a picture of the kinds of actors that are engaging in Impact Canada challenges as well as the interconnections between them. Beyond illustrating the connections between actors, social network analysis could reveal the relative centrality and importance of different actors within a network.

Surveys: Measuring the Mobilization of Talent

In addition to social network analysis, the IIU is making use of surveys to determine whether challenges are succeeding in attracting a wide variety of innovators. Surveys can help gather important information about applicants to understand who applies to challenges and what some of their motivations are. Some of the variables that can be analyzed from a survey include the age and gender distribution, location, background, and prior activity of applicants. Analysis of these variables will allow the IIU to measure the effectiveness of challenges in attracting new talent.

Quasi-Experimental Approaches: Measuring Economic Value

By de-risking investments into nascent technologies, challenges should help participants to raise new capital and financing. Evidence from a Nesta case study has shown that challenges are capable of helping participants generate investment into their products and solutionsFootnote 2. Moreover, the staged approach that Impact Canada has taken to challenges in which non-winners are provided with various forms of support should help improve economic outcomes even amongst non-grand-prize-winners. Determining whether challenges have succeeded in generating greater public value will require the use of quasi-experimental approaches in which counter-factual outcomes from a control group are compared to the outcomes seen from applicants. By determining whether participants have experienced increases in economic indicators such as R&D spending, productivity, payroll spending, exports, patents, intangible assets, revenue, capital raised, and job creation, the IIU will be able to determine whether challenges have supported sustainable, innovative businesses that have experienced positive economic outcomes. Some initial work in this direction has begun in partnership with Statistics Canada (StatsCan). Moving forwards, the IIU will continue to collaborate with StatsCan to use data available in its Linkable File Environment to determine the most effective ways to measure the economic impacts of challenges while accounting for relevant covariates that could influence outcomes.Footnote 3

Short-Term Case Studies: Examining the Innovation Process

Many innovation oriented organizations have used case studies to evaluate the impacts of their programs. One reason for launching challenges is to change the incentives and conditions that currently exist around innovation in Canada. For example, the Women in Clean Tech challenge seeks to strengthen the innovation ecosystem in clean tech by creating a space for talented female entrepreneurs to develop and cultivate their ideas. In light of these goals, the IIU will consider using case studies that examine the impact of challenges on the innovation process. A pioneering approach here has been the short-term case study undertaken by Sitra of their challenge Ratkaisu 100Footnote 4 which documents the impact of a challenge on participants as they are going through it. To date, the IIU has produced two case studies and will be publishing more in the future.

Long-Term Impact Studies: Measuring Public Value

As solutions developed throughout challenges come to be deployed in the real world, it will become imperative to examine the concrete impacts that these solutions are having on their respective issue areas. Through a longer term impact study, the IIU could examine the ways in which technologies, products, and services developed during challenges are being utilized. For example, if data eventually becomes available on the number of daily users the winning solution from the Drug Checking Technology Challenge has, the IIU could conduct statistical analysis about how the technology has been deployed to prevent overdoses within specific geographic areas. Each long-term impact study is likely to be very different given divergent pathways to impact that every challenge is likely to have. Nonetheless, long-term impact studies will ideally show how challenges have had an influence on some of Canada’s must pressing issues, responding to the longer-term outcomes of the challenges logic model, focused on societal, environmental and economic outcomes.

Conclusion

As the IIU accumulates evidence on the effects of challenges, this knowledge will be used to understand the process and outcomes of challenges and to improve future challenges and initiatives. However, the importance of impact measurement extends beyond the need for institutional learning. Over the coming years, the insights obtained during impact measurement will help tell the story about how challenges have played a role in improving the lives of Canadians.